CONQUER THE CRASH(征服失败：在通货紧缩不良气中的生存与复兴) fb2 pdf azw3 网盘 rtf 免费 下载 txt

"This book outlines brilliantly and simply the rationale for how and why the bubble developed. Prechter will go down in history as a legend for having predicted the secular bull market and now having provided a lucid de*ion of the economic cataclysm that unfortunately lies ahead. I urge you to read this book and give it to your loved ones. It provides great tactical advice on how to prepare yourself financially. Reading this book could make the difference between agony and comfort over the next 20 years." —David Tice, President, Prudent Bear Funds --This text refers to an out of print or unavailable edition of this title.

Foreword

BOOK ONE: WHY A STOCK MARKET CRASH, MONETARY DEFLATION AND ECONOMIC DEPRESSION ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR SOON

PARTⅠ: THE CASE FOR CRASH AND DEPRESSION

　1 A Myth Exposed

　2 When Do Depression Occur?

　3 When Do Stock Markets Turn from Up to Down?

　4 The Position of the Stock Market Today

　5 Evidence from Stock Participation and Economic Performance

　6 The Significance of Historically High Stock Market Valuation

　7 The Significance of Historically Optimistic Psychology

　8 Implications for the Stock Market and the Economy

PARTⅡ: THE CASE FOR DEFLATION

　9 When Does Deflation Occur?

　10 Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System

　11 What Makes Deflation Likely Today?

　12 Timing Deflations: The Kondratieff Cycle

　13 Can the Fed Stop Deflation?

BOOK TWO: HOW TO PROTECT YOURSELF AND PROFIT FROM DEFLATION AND DEPRESSION

　14 Making Preparations and Taking Action

　15 Should You Invest in Bonds?

　16 Should You Invest in Real Estate?

　17 Should You Invest in Collectibles?

　18 Should You Invest in “Cash”?

　19 How to Find a Safe Bank

　20 Should You Speculate in Stocks?

　21 Should You Invest in Commodities?

　22 Should You Invest in Precious Metals?

　23 What To Do With Your Pension Plan

　24 What To Do With Your Insurance and Annuities

　25 Reliable Sources for Financial Warnings

　26 How To Ensure Your Physical Safety

　27 Preparing for a Change in Politics

　28 How To Identify a Safe Haven

　29 Calling in Loans and Paying Off Debt

　30 What You Should Do If You Run a Business

　31 What You Should Do with Respect to Your Employment

　32 Should You Rely on Government To Protect You?

　33 A Short List of Imperative “Do’s” and Crucial “Don’ts”

　34 What To Do at the Bottom of a Deflationary Crash and Depression

Services That Can Help You Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression

Supplement for 2004

Media & Misc References

　　Robert Prechter is president of Elliott Wave International, which resides at www.elliottwave.com. EWI is a forecasting firm servicing institutional and private investors around the world, providing long-term as well as intraday analysis on stock marke

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书籍介绍

'The forecasts in "Conquer the Crash" continue to be uncannily accurate. Look out below as the rest become reality' - Jim Puplava, host, 'financialsense.com'. A year after "Conquer the Crash" published, stock markets around the world fell precipitously. The rebound of the last six months has convinced some that we are leaving the bear market behind and entering a bull market and economic boom. In this expanded and updated Second Edition of the "New York Times" bestseller, Prechter returns to provide answers as to what lies ahead. He provides updated economic and market analysis, shows you how to take steps to protect, survive, and prosper and asks, contrary to what most market analysts believe, whether the depression is truly at an end? The expanded and updated edition includes a new 50 page supplement plus current safety sources.Written by a leading expert on investing in bear markets, this book is a timely and insightful guide for anyone looking to protect and make money in today's financial markets. Praise for the first edition: '...I am saying that this is 'must reading' for anyone who has even the slightest interest in the stock market and his or her own investing' - Richard Russel, "Dow Theory Letters". 'Prechter's understanding of technical, contrary and economic analysis is exceptional' - Lawrence G. MacMillan, "The Option Strategist". 'All investors imbued with the idea that stocks should be bought and held forever should read this book' - Charlie Minter and Marty Weiner, Comstock Partners, Inc. '"Conquer the Crash" provides disciplined investors with a map, compass and survival guide. Don't leave home without it' - Henry Van der Eb, "The P.Q. Wall Forecast".'A compelling exposition of how both the mechanics and the psychology of the business cycle can be encapsulated in market analysis' - Sean Corrigan, Capital-Insight.com. 'Prechter knows the facts like few others. Read this forceful argument carefully. It can save you from financial loss' - James R. Cook, President, "Investment Rarities". '...required reading for anyone who wants to enhance his or her prospects for the years ahead' - Timothy Bost, Editor, "Financial Cycles".